Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1195.999536 1350.382315 1519.843650 1720.108567 1950.882000 2209.139261 2520.968261
2025-11-16 956.264703 1164.651770 1413.931823 1736.072500 2144.177546 2647.706539 3321.779783
2025-11-23 826.192209 1057.775185 1351.117428 1753.882092 2298.613756 3018.493754 4056.437501
2025-11-30 740.100203 986.342525 1313.023472 1784.402464 2457.531227 3400.098058 4848.370546
2025-12-07 649.862206 894.659010 1231.879632 1738.758615 2496.048856 3609.425680 5415.667818
2025-12-14 577.304996 817.384305 1159.093753 1691.444677 2519.245354 3790.494717 5956.839922
2025-12-21 515.344923 747.832421 1088.397994 1636.105181 2518.838284 3928.905382 6442.328748
2025-12-28 490.540302 730.010974 1091.346979 1691.931082 2696.809127 4370.088725 7499.241671
2026-01-04 461.933204 703.108970 1076.817607 1716.761581 2824.669564 4741.384826 8489.322121
2026-01-11 434.688503 675.486380 1057.865985 1731.037092 2934.279464 5092.345579 9495.546311
2026-01-18 409.932791 649.436810 1038.580444 1741.748125 3037.231182 5442.174681 10554.670068
2026-01-25 393.675846 635.765850 1038.204821 1784.662592 3202.600387 5928.828568 11974.117476
2026-02-01 374.129817 615.554462 1025.915506 1806.812176 3335.571912 6379.127717 13420.095322
2026-02-08 355.025836 594.600214 1010.586950 1821.968702 3457.552507 6826.639421 14953.575812
2026-02-15 338.329157 576.360376 998.209813 1840.870421 3588.478227 7310.440535 16667.659763
2026-02-22 324.959903 562.899540 993.157265 1873.113227 3750.436499 7884.684935 18722.956981
2026-03-01 302.281550 530.634294 950.257888 1824.888664 3734.039573 8054.485795 19777.414288
2026-03-08 281.460979 500.296791 908.567114 1774.909333 3707.495226 8196.242815 20786.005338
2026-03-15 261.451729 470.101585 864.839680 1716.465570 3654.987750 8268.399634 21617.999863
2026-03-22 256.262718 467.871121 875.729278 1775.423087 3879.851814 9056.024497 24687.121666
2026-03-29 247.821501 458.662028 871.851203 1801.651161 4030.567778 9679.741271 27420.488432
2026-04-05 238.805666 447.658235 863.400809 1816.731446 4155.994746 10257.208451 30155.289557
2026-04-12 230.025858 436.508397 853.748983 1828.046919 4273.427228 10832.191528 33032.565024